Borussia DortmundForm guide
Sabah top the Azerbaijani league with 19 points from seven games. They have six wins and a draw and have conceded just once domestically. They won 4-0 at Qabala at the weekend. In the Champions League they lost 4-0 at Manchester United but then beat Slavia Prague 2-0 at home, so they have three points. At home they have won all six games this season, including qualifiers against AGF Aarhus (4-0) and Hapoel Beer Sheva (5-2).
Dortmund are second in the Bundesliga, level on 14 points with Bayern Munich and unbeaten after four wins and two draws. They have the best defensive record in the Bundesliga: 4 goals conceded in six games. Their last three games have been quieter, though: a 2-2 draw with Werder Bremen, a 1-0 defeat at Bodø/Glimt in the Champions League and a 0-0 at Union Berlin at the weekend. Their European record is one win (3-2 against Villarreal) and one defeat.
Head-to-head
We found no previous meeting between the clubs.
Team news
Dortmund's midfield is stretched, with Can, Konstantelias and Lerma out and Chukwuemeka and Karetsas doubtful. Defender Schlotterbeck is reported to be rested. Sabah are missing forward Aliyev.
Our prediction and why
Dortmund are by far the stronger side on paper, but they have scored just twice in their last three games, and Sabah have won every home game this season. That is why we take Dortmund or draw (X2) rather than a straight away win. Dortmund have not lost a Bundesliga game all season, and a draw still lands the bet.
Other bets to consider
Over 1.5 goals is our second pick. Six of Sabah's last seven games had at least two goals, and Sabah score freely at home. Dortmund's recent games have been low-scoring, which is the main risk to this tip.