Champions League · Tuesday 20 October 2026 · 20:00

Porto vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction, Tips and Odds – 20 October 2026

PortoHome
20:00Tue 20 Oct
PSV EindhovenAway
CompetitionChampions LeagueVenueEstádio do Dragão, Porto
Our tipPorto or draw (1X)
Odds1.17
Our chance80%
Why we picked it

Porto have won all eight league games, and PSV have lost three of their last five, including their last three away games.

Odds of 1.17 give about a 85% chance. We rate it a little lower at 80%, so treat this one with care.

Match result chances

Porto win 57%Draw 23%PSV Eindhoven win 20%

All markets for this match

Double chance Main tipPorto or draw (1X)80%1.251.17
Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.580%1.251.17

All six of Porto's competitive games since the start of September had two or more goals, as did six of PSV's last seven.

Fair odds are what our chance is worth: 100 ÷ chance. When the bookmaker pays more, we mark it as value.

Form, last 5 matches

PortoLWWWLLost 3-2 at Real Betis last time out
PSV EindhovenWLWLLLost 2-1 at ADO Den Haag at the weekend

Oldest on the left, most recent on the right.

Team news

Porto

William is out with an ankle injury, and Sanusi and Pérez are doubts. Gabriel Veiga is top league scorer with 4.

PSV Eindhoven

Eight players are reported out, including Sildillia, Schouten, Wanner, Pepi, Pléa and Lammers. Til is a doubt.

Form guide

Porto top Liga Portugal with a perfect record: eight wins from eight, 20 goals scored and 4 conceded, five points clear of Benfica. Their wins include a 3-1 victory over Benfica. The Champions League has gone less well: they lost 2-0 at home to Manchester City and 3-2 at Real Betis last week, so they need points. They have not played since, so they arrive rested.

PSV are third in the Eredivisie with 19 points from nine games, four behind leaders Feyenoord, and have lost three of their last five. They lost 3-2 at Twente, 1-0 at RB Leipzig in the Champions League and 2-1 at ADO Den Haag at the weekend, so they have lost their last three away games. They have one point from two Champions League games.

Head-to-head

We found no recent meetings between the two clubs.

Team news

PSV's injury list is very long, with eight players reported out, including midfielders Schouten and Wanner and forwards Pepi, Pléa and Lammers. Porto are missing forward William, with two defenders doubtful.

Our prediction and why

We take Porto or draw (1X). Porto are perfect at home in the league and in strong domestic form, while PSV are struggling on the road and badly hit by injuries. Porto's two European defeats are why we cover the draw instead of backing the home win.

Other bets to consider

Over 1.5 goals is our second pick. All six of Porto's competitive games since the start of September had at least two goals, and so did six of PSV's last seven.

Porto vs PSV Eindhoven: FAQs

When was Porto vs PSV Eindhoven played?

Porto vs PSV Eindhoven (Champions League) was on Tuesday 20 October 2026, kick-off 20:00 (GMT+0100), at Estádio do Dragão, Porto.

What is the best pick for Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our main tip is Porto or draw (1X) at odds of 1.17, which we rate at a 80% chance. Porto have won all eight league games, and PSV have lost three of their last five, including their last three away games.

Who will win Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

We give Porto a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and PSV Eindhoven 20%. Porto are clear favourites.

What other tips do you have for Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

We also like: Over 1.5 goals (80%).

Are Porto unbeaten in the league?

Yes. They have won all eight Liga Portugal games, scoring 20 and conceding 4.

Have Porto picked up a point in this season's Champions League?

Not yet. They lost 2-0 at home to Manchester City and 3-2 at Real Betis.

What is your best pick for Tuesday 20 October?

Our Banker of the Day is Manchester City vs AEK Athens: Manchester City to win at odds of 1.08.

Odds are a guide and may change before kick-off. Predictions are opinions, not guarantees. 18+ only.