GetafeForm guide
Getafe went into the weekend 14th with eight points and have scored just 4 league goals in eight games. They are tough at home, though, with two wins and two draws, conceding only 2. Bordalás's side play for tight games, and all eight of their league games had three goals or fewer. They also played on Thursday, drawing 1-1 at Craiova.
Rayo went into the weekend 13th with eight points from seven games. Their games are more open (11 scored, 16 conceded), but away from home they have no win in four, scoring 5 and conceding 12. Sergio Camello has 7 of their 11 goals.
Head-to-head
This fixture is reliably low-scoring. None of the last five meetings had more than two goals: 0-2, 1-1, 1-0, 0-0 and 0-0.
Our prediction and why
Under 3.5 goals is one of our safest picks of the day. Getafe's games never go above three goals, the head-to-head is tight, and Getafe have tired legs after Thursday. Even with Rayo's open style, the last five meetings produced just five goals in total.
Other bets to consider
Under 2.5 goals is a bigger-odds option. All five recent meetings and six of Getafe's eight games stayed under it.