Monza vs Cagliari Prediction, Tips and Odds – 19 October 2026

Form guide

Monza went into the weekend 16th with four points, and they have conceded 15 goals in six games. Their games are open. Both teams have scored in all six, and five of the six had three or more goals. At home they have won one and lost one.

Cagliari are the opposite. They went into the weekend fourth with 13 points, scoring 6 and conceding just 3. They have won all three away league games, 4-1 on aggregate, including 1-0 at Udinese and 2-1 at Atalanta, and they held Juventus 1-1 last time out. All six of their league games had three goals or fewer.

Head-to-head

None of the last four meetings had more than three goals: 3-0, 2-1, 1-0 and 1-1. Cagliari won two of them, Monza one, and one was drawn.

Team news

Monza lose defender Lucchesi to suspension, which weakens a back line that already concedes a lot. Cagliari are without Idrissi, Felici and Trepy but get midfielder Deiola back.

Our prediction and why

We take under 3.5 goals. Cagliari keep games tight, and the head-to-head points the same way. Monza's games are higher scoring, which is why we choose under 3.5 rather than under 2.5: three goals still wins the bet.