Barcelona
Real MadridForm guide
Barcelona have won all nine LaLiga games and have 27 points. Their last five league games were 4-2 at Levante, 7-2 against Racing Santander, 3-1 at Sevilla, 3-0 against Getafe and 5-2 at Betis, so they scored three or more in every one. They have won 23 home league games in a row. On Tuesday they lost 4-2 at PSG.
Real Madrid are third with 21 points. Their last five: 4-1 against Rayo, 3-2 at Elche, a 2-1 defeat at Atlético, 1-0 against Villarreal and 4-1 against Sevilla. They beat RB Leipzig 4-1 on Wednesday.
Head-to-head
Barcelona have won four of the last five Clásicos, including 2-0 at home in May 2026 and 3-2 in the Supercopa in January. Six of the last seven meetings had three or more goals, and five had four or more.
Team news
Both sides are missing key players. Barcelona are without Raphinha, Olmo, Koundé and Christensen, with De Jong a doubt. Real Madrid lose Vinícius to suspension and are without Rodrygo, Militão and Mendy.
Our prediction and why
We take Over 2.5 goals. Barcelona have scored three or more in all of their last five league games, Real Madrid scored in all five of theirs, and the recent Clásicos have been high-scoring. The bookmakers price it at 1.20.
This match also meets our Over 3.5 rule: recent Clásicos have had five and seven goals, and Barcelona's last five league games averaged 5.8 goals and Real Madrid's 3.8. It is a riskier pick, at around a 60% chance.