Form guide
Sarpsborg are tenth with 28 points. Their last five league games were a 2-2 draw with Vålerenga, a 1-1 draw at Fredrikstad, a 3-1 home defeat by KFUM, a 4-2 win at Aalesund and a 3-0 home defeat by Rosenborg. They have conceded in all five.
Aalesund are 14th with 24 points and have alternated wins and defeats: 2-0 against Start, a 2-1 defeat at KFUM, a 2-1 win at Molde, a 4-2 home defeat by Sarpsborg and a 4-1 win at Kristiansund. They scored in all five.
Head-to-head
The teams met two weeks ago in Aalesund, and Sarpsborg won 4-2. In the home league meetings with Aalesund listed since 2015, Sarpsborg scored in all six.
Team news
No absences were listed for either side in the reports we checked.
Our prediction and why
We take Over 1.5 goals as the safer goals pick. All ten of the two teams' recent games had at least two goals, and the last meeting had six.
We also take Over 2.5 goals. Sarpsborg scored four against this Aalesund side a fortnight ago, and Aalesund have scored in every one of their last five games, so one team's goals are likely to get help from the other. The bookmakers agree, pricing over 2.5 at 1.36.
Other bets to consider
The 4-2 meeting and both teams' scoring averages fit our over 3.5 rule, but the bookmakers make it close to a coin flip, so we have kept it out of the main picks.