Form guide
Xamax lost 4-0 at Winterthur, won 3-1 at Stade Nyonnais, lost 3-0 at home to Rapperswil-Jona, beat Winterthur 3-0 and drew 0-0 at Lausanne-Ouchy.
Aarau beat Rapperswil-Jona 3-2 and drew 2-2 with Kriens, then lost 2-1 at Winterthur, 2-1 at Stade Nyonnais and 2-1 at home to Étoile Carouge. They scored in all five and conceded two or more in all five.
Head-to-head
Aarau won 2-1 at home in August.
Our prediction and why
We take Over 2.5 goals. Xamax scored three in two of their last five, and Aarau scored in all five of theirs, which fits our rule. Nine of the two teams' last ten games went over 2.5.