Saudi Pro League · Friday 30 October 2026 · 19:00

Al Shabab vs Al Ahli Prediction, Tips and Odds – 30 October 2026

Al-ShababHome
19:00Fri 30 Oct
Al-AhliAway
CompetitionSaudi Pro LeagueVenueKing Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
Our tipOver 0.5
Odds1.03
Our chance96%
Why we picked it

Al Ahli have scored two or more in each of their last five league games.

Odds of 1.03 give about a 97% chance, in line with our 96% estimate.

Match result chances

Al-Shabab win 28%Draw 24%Al-Ahli win 48%

All markets for this match

Over/Under 0.5 goals Main tipOver 0.596%1.041.03
Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.580%1.251.45 Value

Al Ahli scored three or more in four of their last five, Al Shabab scored in four of theirs, and four of the last five meetings had three or more goals.

Fair odds are what our chance is worth: 100 ÷ chance. When the bookmaker pays more, we mark it as value.

Form, last 5 matches

Al ShababLDWDWWon 3-1 at Al Fateh last time out
Al AhliLWWWWBeat Al Khaleej 4-1 last time out

Oldest on the left, most recent on the right.

Head to head

Saudi Pro League Feb 2026Al Shabab 2–5 Al Ahli
Saudi Pro League Oct 2025Al Ahli 1–1 Al Shabab
Saudi Pro League May 2025Al Shabab 3–1 Al Ahli
Saudi Pro League Jan 2025Al Ahli 3–2 Al Shabab
Saudi Pro League May 2024Al Shabab 1–2 Al Ahli

Team news

Al Shabab

No absentee report was available when we checked.

Al Ahli

No absentee report was available when we checked. Al Ahli play in the AFC Champions League three days later, so they may rotate.

Form guide

Al Ahli lost 3-2 at Al Qadsiah, then beat Al Hazem 3-1, won 4-0 at Al Fateh and 3-2 at Al Fayha, and beat Al Khaleej 4-1.

Al Shabab lost 2-1 at Al Kholood, drew 0-0 with Al Fayha, beat Al Taawoun 3-0, drew 2-2 with Al Faisaly and won 3-1 at Al Fateh.

Head-to-head

Four of the last five meetings had three or more goals, including Al Ahli's 5-2 win here in February and their 3-2 home win in January 2025.

Our prediction and why

Our main pick is Over 2.5 goals. Al Ahli scored three or more in four of their last five, and Al Shabab scored in four of theirs, which fits our rule. Four of the last five meetings went over 2.5.

We also take Over 0.5 goals, because Al Ahli have scored two or more in each of their last five. Possible rotation before Al Ahli's Champions League game is the main risk.

Al-Shabab vs Al-Ahli: FAQs

When is Al-Shabab vs Al-Ahli?

Al-Shabab vs Al-Ahli (Saudi Pro League) is on Friday 30 October 2026, kick-off 19:00 (GMT+0100), at King Fahd Stadium, Riyadh.

What is the best pick for Al-Shabab vs Al-Ahli?

Our main tip is over 0.5 goals at odds of 1.03, which we rate at a 96% chance. Al Ahli have scored two or more in each of their last five league games.

Who will win Al-Shabab vs Al-Ahli?

We give Al-Shabab a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Al-Ahli 48%. Al-Ahli are slight favourites.

What other tips do you have for Al-Shabab vs Al-Ahli?

We also like: Over 2.5 goals (80%).

How is Al Ahli's scoring?

They scored 16 goals in their last five league games, two or more in every one.

How many goals were in the last meeting here?

Seven: Al Ahli won 5-2 at Al Shabab in February.

What is your best pick for Friday 30 October?

Our Banker of the Day is Rapperswil-Jona vs Stade Nyonnais: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.22.

Odds are a guide and may change before kick-off. Predictions are opinions, not guarantees. 18+ only.