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Fair odds are what our chance is worth: 100 ÷ chance. When the bookmaker pays more, we mark it as value.
Form, last 5 matches
Manchester CityWWWWLLost 2-1 at Aston Villa last time out
BrightonWWWWLLost 2-0 at Liverpool last time out
Oldest on the left, most recent on the right.
Head to head
Manchester City 1 · Draw 2 · Brighton 2Premier League Jan 2026Manchester City 1–1 Brighton
Premier League Aug 2025Brighton 2–1 Manchester City
Premier League Mar 2025Manchester City 2–2 Brighton
Premier League Nov 2024Brighton 2–1 Manchester City
Premier League Apr 2024Brighton 0–4 Manchester City
Team news
Manchester CitySemenyo and Nunes are out, and Kovačić and O'Reilly are doubts.
BrightonFerguson, Mitoma, Minteh, Tzimas, Yohanna, Azeez, Struijk and Wieffer are listed out, and Chema Andrés and Kadıoğlu are doubts.
Form guide
City won 1-0 at Manchester United, beat Sunderland 5-3, won 3-0 at Liverpool, beat Ipswich 3-2 and lost 2-1 at Aston Villa.
Brighton won 5-0 at Coventry, beat Arsenal 3-0, won 2-0 at Sunderland, beat Crystal Palace 5-0 and lost 2-0 at Liverpool.
Head-to-head
Every one of the last five meetings had two or more goals, and Brighton are unbeaten in the last four.
Team news
Brighton are without most of their forwards, including Ferguson, Mitoma and Minteh, though manager Hürzeler said Minteh and Wieffer could return. City are missing Semenyo and Nunes.
Our prediction and why
We take Over 1.5 goals. Nine of the two teams' last ten league games had two or more goals; the exception was City's 1-0 win at Old Trafford in September. All five recent meetings cleared the line too.
Odds are a guide and may change before kick-off. Predictions are opinions, not guarantees. 18+ only.
Manchester City
Brighton