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Fair odds are what our chance is worth: 100 ÷ chance. When the bookmaker pays more, we mark it as value.
Form, last 5 matches
Bayern MunichWWDWWWon 3-1 at Freiburg last time out
DortmundWWDDWBeat Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 last time out
Oldest on the left, most recent on the right.
Head to head
Bayern Munich 3 · Draw 2 · Dortmund 0Super Cup Aug 2026Dortmund 1–2 Bayern Munich
Bundesliga Feb 2026Dortmund 2–3 Bayern Munich
Bundesliga Oct 2025Bayern Munich 2–1 Dortmund
Bundesliga Apr 2025Bayern Munich 2–2 Dortmund
Bundesliga Nov 2024Dortmund 1–1 Bayern Munich
Team news
Bayern MunichMusiala, Neuer, Díaz, Kim Min-jae, Kimmich and Pavlović are reported out.
DortmundCan, Lerma, Prates, Konstantelias and Karetsas are out, and Bensebaïni is a doubt.
Form guide
Bayern won 2-1 at Elversberg, beat Union Berlin 7-0, drew 2-2 at Augsburg, beat RB Leipzig 6-1 and won 3-1 at Freiburg.
Dortmund beat Paderborn 3-0, won 1-0 at Stuttgart, drew 2-2 with Werder Bremen and 0-0 at Union Berlin, and beat Frankfurt 1-0.
Head-to-head
Every one of the last five meetings had at least two goals, and Bayern have won the last three.
Team news
Bayern are without Musiala, Díaz, Kimmich, Kim Min-jae, Pavlović and goalkeeper Neuer. Dortmund are missing Can, Lerma and three others.
Our prediction and why
We take Over 0.5 goals. Bayern have scored two or more in each of their last five league games, which is what our rule asks for. We stop there because Dortmund have kept four clean sheets in five and Bayern's absentees are significant.
Odds are a guide and may change before kick-off. Predictions are opinions, not guarantees. 18+ only.