Alanyaspor
KocaelisporForm guide
Alanyaspor are ninth in the Süper Lig with 12 points from eight games: three wins, three draws and two defeats. They are hard to beat but do not score many, with wins of 1-0 at Rizespor, 2-1 at Çorum and 1-0 against Beşiktaş. Their last outing was a 3-0 defeat at Fenerbahçe. Seven of their eight league games had three goals or fewer.
Kocaelispor are eighth, also on 12 points, with four wins and four defeats and no draws. Their games are tight: they have scored 9 and conceded 8, and all eight league games had three goals or fewer. They have lost their last two, 2-1 at Beşiktaş and 2-1 at home to Göztepe at the weekend.
Head-to-head
The last two meetings went one each way: Kocaelispor won 2-0 at home in October 2025, and Alanyaspor won 5-0 at home in March 2026. That 5-0 is the main warning for the unders bet.
Team news
Alanyaspor are without forward Šporar through illness. Kocaelispor have a stretched defence, with Zoukrou, Haïdara and Dijksteel all out and Maglica a doubt, and they are also missing forward Petković.
Our prediction and why
We take under 3.5 goals. Fifteen of the two teams' sixteen league games this season had three goals or fewer, and both sides tend to play cautiously. Kocaelispor's defensive absences and last season's 5-0 are the risks, which is why this is rated 82% rather than higher.