Form guide
Milan beat Lecce 3-0, drew 1-1 at Sassuolo, beat Atalanta 3-2, won 2-0 at Udinese and lost 4-2 at home to Bologna.
Inter drew 2-2 at Roma, beat Parma 3-0, won 3-1 at Bologna, beat Fiorentina 2-1 and won 2-0 at Venezia.
Head-to-head
Milan are unbeaten in the last five competitive derbies. The last two league meetings both ended 1-0 to Milan, so this fixture has been tighter than either side's recent games.
Team news
Milan are without suspended goalkeeper Maignan and seven injured players, including Rabiot and Loftus-Cheek. Inter are without the suspended Bastoni plus Martínez, Pavard and three others.
Our prediction and why
We take Over 1.5 goals. Every one of both teams' last five league games had two or more goals, which is what our rule asks for, and Inter scored two or more in all five. The recent 1-0 derbies are why we rate it lower than our other Over 1.5 picks.
AC Milan
Inter