Premier League · Sunday 18 October 2026 · 14:00
Leeds UnitedHome
Manchester UnitedAwayLeeds are unbeaten in eight home games and United have not won in five.
Odds of 1.42 give about a 70% chance, in line with our 69% estimate.
Both sides have scored in most of their recent games.
Fair odds are what our chance is worth: 100 ÷ chance. When the bookmaker pays more, we mark it as value.
Oldest on the left, most recent on the right.
Rodon and Mateo Joseph are out. Calvert-Lewin has 3 league goals.
Sesko, Ugarte and Dorgu are out. Mainoo, Shaw and Mazraoui are doubts. United lost 2-0 at Atlético on Tuesday.
Leeds are unbeaten in eight home games and won at Old Trafford in April. United have not won in five, and they are missing Sesko and Ugarte. Both sides have scored in most of their recent games, so BTTS is a fair second pick.
Leeds United vs Manchester United (Premier League) is on Sunday 18 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 (GMT+0100), at Elland Road.
Our main tip is Leeds United or draw (1X) at odds of 1.42, which we rate at a 69% chance. Leeds are unbeaten in eight home games and United have not won in five.
We give Leeds United a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Manchester United 31%. Leeds United are slight favourites.
We also like: Both teams to score (60%).
Our Banker of the Day is Real Madrid vs Sevilla: Real Madrid to win at odds of 1.22.
Odds are a guide and may change before kick-off. Predictions are opinions, not guarantees. 18+ only.