Champions League · Wednesday 4 November 2026 · 21:00

FC Porto vs Napoli Prediction, Tips and Odds – 4 November 2026

FC PortoHome
21:00Wed 4 Nov
NapoliAway
CompetitionChampions LeagueVenueEstádio do Dragão, Porto
Our tipOver 2.5
Odds Value1.75
Our chance72%
Why we picked it

Napoli scored three or more in three of their last five, Porto scored in all five, and seven of their last ten games had three or more goals.

Odds of 1.75 give about a 57% chance. We rate it 72%, so the odds look generous.

Match result chances

FC Porto win 47%Draw 27%Napoli win 26%

All markets for this match

Over/Under 2.5 goals Main tipOver 2.572%1.391.75 Value

Fair odds are what our chance is worth: 100 ÷ chance. When the bookmaker pays more, we mark it as value.

Form, last 5 matches

FC PortoWWWWWBeat Estoril 4-0 last time out
NapoliWLDWLLost 2-0 at Juventus last time out

Oldest on the left, most recent on the right.

Team news

FC Porto

No absentees were reported.

Napoli

Buongiorno, Badiashile, Santos, Favasuli, Lobotka, Neres, Spinazzola and Folorunsho are out, and Rrahmani and Politano are doubts.

Form guide

Porto won 4-1 at Casa Pia, beat Benfica 3-1, won 2-1 at Marítimo and 1-0 at Gil Vicente, and beat Estoril 4-0.

Napoli beat Frosinone 3-0, lost 1-0 at Venezia, drew 3-3 with Roma, won 4-1 at Monza and lost 2-0 at Juventus.

Team news

Napoli are badly hit at the back, without Buongiorno and Spinazzola, with Rrahmani a doubt. Lobotka and Neres are also out. Porto reported no absentees.

Our prediction and why

We take Over 2.5 goals. Napoli scored three or more in three of their last five and Porto scored in all five, which fits our rule. Seven of the two teams' last ten games had three or more goals. With no recent meetings to go on, we rate it lower than our other picks.

FC Porto vs Napoli: FAQs

When is FC Porto vs Napoli?

FC Porto vs Napoli (Champions League) is on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kick-off 21:00 (GMT+0100), at Estádio do Dragão, Porto.

What is the best pick for FC Porto vs Napoli?

Our main tip is over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.75, which we rate at a 72% chance. Napoli scored three or more in three of their last five, Porto scored in all five, and seven of their last ten games had three or more goals.

Who will win FC Porto vs Napoli?

We give FC Porto a 47% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Napoli 26%. FC Porto are slight favourites.

How is Porto's form?

Five league wins in a row, scoring 14 goals.

How many goals were in Napoli's last five games?

17, including 3-3 against Roma and 4-1 at Monza.

What is your best pick for Wednesday 4 November?

Our Banker of the Day is PSV vs Club Brugge: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.18.

Odds are a guide and may change before kick-off. Predictions are opinions, not guarantees. 18+ only.

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