Champions League · Wednesday 4 November 2026 · 21:00

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City Prediction, Tips and Odds – 4 November 2026

RB LeipzigHome
21:00Wed 4 Nov
Manchester CityAway
CompetitionChampions LeagueVenueRed Bull Arena, Leipzig
Our tipOver 1.5
Odds1.15
Our chance88%
Why we picked it

Nine of the two teams' last ten league games had two or more goals, and all of the last five meetings did.

Odds of 1.15 give about a 87% chance, in line with our 88% estimate.

Match result chances

RB Leipzig win 35%Draw 23%Manchester City win 42%

All markets for this match

Over/Under 1.5 goals Main tipOver 1.588%1.141.15
Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.574%1.351.50 Value

Leipzig and City each scored three or more at least twice in their last five, and four of the last five meetings went over 2.5.

Fair odds are what our chance is worth: 100 ÷ chance. When the bookmaker pays more, we mark it as value.

Form, last 5 matches

RB LeipzigLWLWWWon 2-0 at Schalke last time out
Manchester CityWWWLLLost 1-0 at home to Brighton last time out

Oldest on the left, most recent on the right.

Head to head

RB Leipzig 1 · Draw 1 · Manchester City 3
Champions League Nov 2023Manchester City 3–2 RB Leipzig
Champions League Oct 2023RB Leipzig 1–3 Manchester City
Champions League Mar 2023Manchester City 7–0 RB Leipzig
Champions League Feb 2023RB Leipzig 1–1 Manchester City
Champions League Dec 2021RB Leipzig 2–1 Manchester City

Team news

RB Leipzig

Estève, Guiu and Ouédraogo are out, and Nkunku is a doubt.

Manchester City

Semenyo is out, and Nunes is a doubt.

Form guide

Leipzig lost 2-0 at Leverkusen, beat Frankfurt 6-0, lost 6-1 at Bayern, beat Elversberg 4-0 and won 2-0 at Schalke.

City beat Sunderland 5-3, won 3-0 at Liverpool, beat Ipswich 3-2, then lost 2-1 at Aston Villa and 1-0 at home to Brighton.

Head-to-head

Every one of the last five meetings had two or more goals, and four had three or more. City won three of them.

Our prediction and why

We take Over 1.5 goals and Over 2.5 goals. Nine of the two teams' last ten league games had two or more goals; the exception was City's 1-0 home defeat to Brighton. Each side scored three or more at least twice in its last five, and four of the last five meetings went over 2.5. City's recent goal drought is why the Over 2.5 is rated lower.

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City: FAQs

When is RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City (Champions League) is on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kick-off 21:00 (GMT+0100), at Red Bull Arena, Leipzig.

What is the best pick for RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

Our main tip is over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.15, which we rate at a 88% chance. Nine of the two teams' last ten league games had two or more goals, and all of the last five meetings did.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

We give RB Leipzig a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Manchester City 42%. There is no clear favourite.

What other tips do you have for RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?

We also like: Over 2.5 goals (74%).

How many goals were in the last five meetings?

21, more than four a game.

How is City's form?

They have lost their last two league games, 2-1 at Aston Villa and 1-0 at home to Brighton.

What is your best pick for Wednesday 4 November?

Our Banker of the Day is PSV vs Club Brugge: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.18.

Odds are a guide and may change before kick-off. Predictions are opinions, not guarantees. 18+ only.