Champions League · Wednesday 4 November 2026 · 18:45

AEK Athens vs Real Madrid Prediction, Tips and Odds – 4 November 2026

AEK AthensHome
18:45Wed 4 Nov
Real MadridAway
CompetitionChampions LeagueVenueAllwyn Arena, Athens
Our tipOver 1.5
Odds1.15
Our chance84%
Why we picked it

Nine of the two teams' last ten league games had two or more goals, and Real Madrid are missing three defenders.

Odds of 1.15 give about a 87% chance. We rate it a little lower at 84%, so treat this one with care.

Match result chances

AEK Athens win 20%Draw 22%Real Madrid win 58%

All markets for this match

Over/Under 1.5 goals Main tipOver 1.584%1.191.15

Fair odds are what our chance is worth: 100 ÷ chance. When the bookmaker pays more, we mark it as value.

Form, last 5 matches

AEK AthensDWWWLLost 2-0 at Panathinaikos last time out
Real MadridLWWWWWon 3-0 at Racing Santander last time out

Oldest on the left, most recent on the right.

Team news

AEK Athens

No absentees were reported.

Real Madrid

Asencio, Rodrygo, Valverde and Mendy are out, and goalkeeper Courtois is a doubt.

Form guide

AEK drew 1-1 at Asteras Tripolis, won 2-1 at Volos, beat OFI 3-0 and Panetolikos 5-0, and lost 2-0 at Panathinaikos.

Real Madrid lost 2-1 at Atlético, beat Villarreal 1-0 and Sevilla 4-1, and won 2-1 at Barcelona and 3-0 at Racing Santander.

Team news

Real Madrid's defence is hit: Asencio, Valverde and Mendy are out, and Courtois is a doubt. Rodrygo is also out. AEK reported no absentees.

Our prediction and why

We take Over 1.5 goals. Nine of the two teams' last ten league games had two or more goals; the exception was Real Madrid's 1-0 win over Villarreal. Real Madrid's missing defenders add to the case.

AEK Athens vs Real Madrid: FAQs

When is AEK Athens vs Real Madrid?

AEK Athens vs Real Madrid (Champions League) is on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kick-off 18:45 (GMT+0100), at Allwyn Arena, Athens.

What is the best pick for AEK Athens vs Real Madrid?

Our main tip is over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.15, which we rate at a 84% chance. Nine of the two teams' last ten league games had two or more goals, and Real Madrid are missing three defenders.

Who will win AEK Athens vs Real Madrid?

We give AEK Athens a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Madrid 58%. Real Madrid are clear favourites.

How is Real Madrid's form?

Four league wins in a row, including 2-1 at Barcelona.

How many have AEK scored lately?

11 in their last five league games.

What is your best pick for Wednesday 4 November?

Our Banker of the Day is PSV vs Club Brugge: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.18.

Odds are a guide and may change before kick-off. Predictions are opinions, not guarantees. 18+ only.

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