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EFL Cup

Southampton vs West Ham Prediction

DateAugust 25, 2026 Kick-off19:45 VenueSt Mary's Stadium
Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals
Alternative Under 3.5 Goals
Confidence 80%

Recent Form

Home Team

Southampton 3–1 Stoke
Watford 2–1 Southampton
Colchester 0–2 Southampton
Preussen Münster 1–2 Southampton
Eintracht Braunschweig 0–1 Southampton

Southampton have won four of their last five and have scored consistently.

Their 3–1 victory over Stoke is particularly encouraging ahead of this cup tie.

Their only recent defeat came away to Watford. Their home form therefore gives them a credible chance against West Ham.

Away Team

West Ham 1–2 Charlton
Burnley 2–2 West Ham
West Ham 3–1 Portsmouth
Magdeburg 1–1 West Ham
Rangers 0–0 West Ham

What the Form Means: West Ham have not been convincing. Their only win in this five-match sequence came against Portsmouth, while the Charlton defeat is particularly concerning.

They remain the higher-level squad, but their current form does not justify an aggressive away-win selection.

Head-to-Head

West Ham 1–1 Southampton
Southampton 0–1 West Ham
West Ham 1–0 Southampton
Southampton 1–1 West Ham
Southampton 3–1 West Ham

Key Statistics

West Ham have the historical advantage, winning 15 of the overall meetings compared with Southampton's nine. However, the last five have produced only one match over 2.5 goals.

That supports a conservative approach. Southampton's stronger current form makes 1X more appealing than the historical H2H might suggest.

Team News

Southampton have Caspar Jander listed as doubtful. Their main attacking options remain available.

West Ham are missing Tomáš Souček and Pablo Felipe. Those absences could affect their midfield control and attacking rotation

Prediction Analysis

Southampton have the upper hand in this fixture to a large extent, however, West Ham still have PL experience and they can score at least once.

That is why we favor over 1.5 goals. But we do not expect to see up to 4 goals.

Final Prediction

Main PredictionOver 1.5 Goals
AlternativeUnder 3.5 Goals
Confidence80%