Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction
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Home Team
Cannes 3–3 Roma
Cardiff 4–1 Roma
Newport 1–4 Roma
Brighton 3–0 Roma
Dortmund 2–2 Roma
Roma's preseason was abysmal. They had very inconsistent defensive structure, conceding at least twice in 4 of their five preseason fixtures.
Even the games they won, they conceded at least once.
Roma lost badly against Cardiff and Brighton, conceding 4 and 3 respectively.
Away Team
Gubbio 0–1 Fiorentina
QPR 3–2 Fiorentina
Watford 0–1 Fiorentina
Real Madrid 2–2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 1–1 Deportivo La Coruña
Fiorentina 4–1 Benevento
In my opinion, Fiorentina were solid this preseason, especially against Real Madrid.
They lost to QPR but that could be easily overlooked as they scored twice.
Head-to-Head
Roma 4–0 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 1–2 Roma
Roma 1–0 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 5–1 Roma
Roma 1–1 Fiorentina
Playing against Roma at home hasn't really favored Fiorentina. They have only managed to score once in their last three matches away to AS Roma.
Key Statistics
Roma have a strong recent record in this fixture, particularly at the Olimpico. The matchup also favours Roma tactically because their wide attacking options can exploit the spaces created by Fiorentina's narrow approach.
The statistical case is therefore stronger for Roma than the pre-season results alone suggest. Fiorentina's good preparation makes a clean-sheet prediction dangerous, but it does not eliminate Roma's home advantage.
Team News
The biggest concern for AS Roma would be the continued absence of Lorenzo Pellegrini.
They will, however, be boosted by the presence of Nahuel Molina who signed last week from Atletico Madrid.
For Fiorentina, the team is still trying to adapt to Fabio Grosso's system of play. They are boosted by the arrrivals of Álex Jiménez, João Mário, and Radu Drăgușin.
It remains to see whether they could get to feature for Grosso's side.
Prediction Analysis
Roma's preseason numbers may not be solid but then the team has an situational condition that makes them better than Fiorentina.
A Roma win is very likely but it looks like something that can be contested by Fiorentina,
So it is safer to go with a home win either half prediction or a BTTS prediction.