Freiburg vs Motherwell Prediction
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Home Team
Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–5 Freiburg
Motherwell 1–3 Freiburg
Freiburg 3–0 Crystal Palace
Freiburg 0–3 Aston Villa
Freiburg 4–1 Leipzig
Freiburg are in decent form. Aside from their loss to Aston Villa, they have conveniently dispatched their opponents.
Winning 3-1 in the first leg vs Motherwell shows that the team weren't just lucky, especially with the 5-1 result they just had before this reverse fixture.
Away Team
Motherwell 1–3 Freiburg
Motherwell 2–0 HJK
Stenhousemuir 0–2 Motherwell
Motherwell 1–0 Falkirk
Motherwell 2–0 Havnar Bóltfelag
Motherwell has a good domestic form but the difference in quality was clear when they played Freiburg in the first leg. They scored first in the match but were subsequently overpowered.
Head-to-Head
Motherwell 1–3 Freiburg
They have only met once which was in the first leg of the UEFA Champions League Qualifying round.
Key Statistics
Freiburg dominated the first leg with 60% possession and a 10–1 advantage in shots on target. They now return home with a 3–1 aggregate lead.
Freiburg have also won their last eight European matches at Europa-Park Stadion, while Motherwell must attack because they need at least two goals simply to force extra time.
Team News
Freiburg's Max Rosenfelder is injured, but Philipp Lienhart is expected to partner Matthias Ginter. Ginter scored twice in the first leg.
Motherwell will be without Martin Moormann after his red card in the first leg. That further weakens a defence already facing a significant quality gap.
Prediction Analysis
Freiburg have the superior squad, home advantage, a two-goal cushion and an exceptional European home record.
We have seen some upsets in the 2nd leg of this competition. It calls for a bit of caution predicting Freiburg win. But I prefer going with the over 1.5 goals outcome.