Burnley vs Middlesbrough Prediction
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Home Team
Norwich 4–1 Burnley
Bradford 0–0 Burnley
West Brom 3–1 Burnley
Burnley 2–2 West Ham
Burnley 1–1 Notts County
Away Team
Middlesbrough 3–1 West Brom
Doncaster 1–3 Middlesbrough
Blackburn 2–1 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 2–1 Lincoln
Middlesbrough 1–0 Wrexham
Head-to-Head
Burnley 1–1 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 1–2 Burnley
Burnley 3–1 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 1–0 Burnley
Burnley 1–1 Middlesbrough
Key Statistics
Burnley's first three Championship matches have produced 4, 4 and 5 total goals, with both teams scoring in every one.
They have also conceded at least two in each league fixture. Middlesbrough have scored seven goals in their opening three league games.
This is therefore one of the clearest goal profiles on today's card.
Even if the match is more controlled than expected, either side reaching one goal gives the Over 1.5 selection considerable protection.
Team News
Burnley will be without Josh Laurent through suspension, while Lyle Foster and Josh Cullen are injured. That reduces Burnley's midfield control and attacking options.
Middlesbrough's main confirmed absence is Jeremy Sarmiento. Their attacking core remains considerably more settled, with Will Lankshear already producing four league goals and 2.82 xG.
Prediction Analysis
The over 1.5 goals could work but I prefer the safer route of under 4.5 goals.