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Serie A

Bologna vs Lazio Prediction

DateAugust 24, 2026 Kick-off17:30 VenueStadio Renato Dall'Ara
Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals
Alternative Over 1.5
Confidence 72%

Recent Form

Home Team

Arminia Bielefeld 4–0 Bologna
Bologna 1–1 Heidenheim
Bologna 2–0 Iraklis
Bologna 3–1 Cambuur
Brighton 1–0 Bologna

Bologna's preparation for the new season was solid despite the dent caused by Brighton.

They found the net in three of their previous friendlies and showed good levels of defensive discipline and organization.

The main concern I have is the fact that the only serious test that they had ended in defeat and that makes a Bologna win less likely vs a team on the same level as them in Lazio.

Away Team

Lazio 2–1 Pisa
Ascoli 1–2 Lazio
Lazio 4–0 Ostia Mare
Frosinone 1–2 Lazio
Mantova 2–0 Lazio

Lazio had a jolly good preseason campaign with wins over Ascoli and Ostia Mare but they lost to Mantova which is worth considering.

It is clear to see that Lazio has good attacking abilities but they could fall short away from home against a fiercer side.

Head-to-Head

Bologna 0–2 Lazio
Bologna 1–1 Lazio
Lazio 1–1 Bologna
Bologna 5–0 Lazio
Lazio 3–0 Bologna

Key Statistics

The matchup has historically produced relatively controlled scoring totals, and neither side enters the game with overwhelming evidence of sustained attacking superiority.

Bologna's home advantage and Lazio's need for a response after their cup elimination also point toward a cautious opening.

Under 3.5 gives substantial protection against several realistic scorelines.

Team News

Bologna's squad is largely intact, although there are some doubts surrounding individual defensive options. The hosts should nevertheless be able to field a competitive starting XI.

Lazio have some availability concerns of their own, while their recent competitive elimination may encourage tactical conservatism.

The priority should be to establish defensive stability before taking unnecessary risks.

Prediction Analysis

There is not enough separation between the teams to make either side an especially attractive outright selection.

Under 3.5 goals is therefore the stronger angle. A 1–1 or 1–2 match is consistent with the overall profile.

Final Prediction

Main PredictionUnder 3.5 Goals
AlternativeOver 1.5
Confidence72%