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Championship

Portsmouth vs Derby County Prediction

DateSeptember 1, 2026 Kick-off19:45 VenueFratton Park
Our Prediction Under 4.5 Goals
Alternative Draw
Confidence 80%

Recent Form

Home Team

Bristol City 2–1 Portsmouth
Lincoln 1–3 Portsmouth
Portsmouth 1–3 QPR
West Ham 3–1 Portsmouth
Darmstadt 0–0 Portsmouth

Away Team

Derby 0–3 Swansea
Derby 2–2 Cardiff
Charlton 2–1 Derby
Derby 1–2 Lincoln
Rotherham 1–1 Derby

Head-to-Head

Portsmouth 0–0 Derby
Derby 1–0 Portsmouth
Portsmouth 1–1 Derby
Derby 2–1 Portsmouth
Portsmouth 2–2 Derby

Key Statistics

Portsmouth have won only one of their opening four competitive matches, while Derby are still searching for their first victory of the Championship campaign. Neither defence has demonstrated enough consistency to make an outright result attractive.

The recent H2H also leans toward relatively tight scorelines. With both sides still finding their rhythm, four or more goals requires a fairly significant change from the typical matchup profile.

Team News

Portsmouth have several fitness concerns, including Thomas Waddingham, Franco Umeh-Chibueze, Keshi Anderson, Jacob Farrell and Connor Ogilvie.

Derby are expected to make adjustments after their poor start. Their midfield needs greater control, while the attacking unit has struggled to turn possession into enough clear chances.

Prediction Analysis

Neither side is trustworthy enough for an outright result. Under 4.5 gives protection across the most likely scorelines.

Final Prediction

Main PredictionUnder 4.5 Goals
AlternativeDraw
Confidence80%