Alavés vs Villarreal Prediction
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Home Team
Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Alavés
Alavés 3–0 Levante
Alavés 2–1 Real Sociedad
Alavés 1–1 Athletic Club
Alavés 0–1 Sevilla
Alavés have managed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches and they opened their season with a draw against Rayo Vallecano.
Away Team
Atlético Madrid 2–2 Villarreal
Villarreal 2–2 Racing Club
Villarreal 5–1 Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Villarreal
Villarreal 2–3 Sevilla
In their last match, away to Atletico, Le Normand was sent off for a foul in the 76th minute and the resulting penalty was scored but Villareal could not hold on to the lead.
Head-to-Head
Alavés 1–1 Villarreal
Villarreal 1–0 Alavés
Alavés 2–1 Villarreal
Villarreal 1–1 Alavés
Alavés 2–1 Villarreal
From the h2h, there has not been a lot of goals between both teams. Only on two occasions have they managed to score 3 goals.
Key Statistics
Alavés have collected four points from their opening two matches, scoring four and conceding one. They also average 42.2% possession across their last 10 league matches, indicating that they are comfortable operating without dominating the ball.
Villarreal have drawn both opening league games. Their recent away numbers are particularly relevant: their -0.25 Asian handicap has failed to cover in five consecutive away matches and eight of their last ten.
Team News
Alavés are expected to use a 5-3-2, with Antonio Sivera behind a back five and Toni Martínez partnering Lucas Boyé in attack.
Facundo Garcés is suspended, which removes an important defensive option from the squad.
Villarreal have injury concerns involving Sergi Cardona and Gerard Moreno. Moreno's absence is particularly relevant because he scored in the 2–2 draw against Atlético.
Georges Mikautadze and Nicolas Pépé therefore carry more of the attacking responsibility.
Prediction Analysis
This is a game that is going to be really conservative. It is hard to fully back the home team or expect that Villareal would win.
I prefer going with under 3.5 goals.
Alternatively, a draw.