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Serie A

AC Milan vs Venezia Prediction

DateAugust 28, 2026 Kick-off19:45 VenueSan Siro
Our Prediction Home Win Either Half
Alternative Home Win + Under 4.5 Goals
Confidence 80%

Recent Form

Home Team

Torino 1–2 Milan
Manchester United 2–4 Milan
Chelsea 3–0 Milan
Milan 1–1 Inter
Celtic 2–2 Milan

When AC Milan started the preseason, Amorim immediately came under pressure. He drew against Celtic and Inter then lost woefully against Chelsea.

Manchester United felt like the biggest test of their preseason but they dealt with the English club and former Amorim side 4-2.

The match vs Torino shows they have the capacity to score but then they can let in goals.

Away Team

Venezia 0–2 Lecce
Venezia 3–2 Modena
Brest 2–2 Venezia
Saint-Étienne 4–3 Venezia

Venezia hasn't had the best start to this season but they have been scoring well.

However, the Lecce game is a dent to their form and it will be something to take into account vs Milan.

Head-to-Head

Venezia 0–2 Milan
Milan 4–0 Venezia
Venezia 0–3 Milan
Milan 2–0 Venezia

Venezia hasn't beat Milan in their last 5 matches and the games have all seen 2+ goals scored.

Amorim's team is one that has a great chance at winning so there is belief among the team to be able to score and expose Venezia's defenses.

Key Statistics

Milan opened the Serie A campaign with a 2–1 away victory at Torino, while Venezia lost 2–0 at home to Lecce. Milan also return to San Siro for their first home league match of the season.

The tactical matchup also favours Milan. Rúben Amorim expects Venezia to use man-to-man marking, meaning Milan's ability to circulate the ball quickly and exploit space behind the first line will be important.

Team News

Rafael Leão will not be in the matchday squad after only one training session with the group.

Christian Pulisic is returning from injury but will not start, so Milan will need to manage his minutes carefully.

Adrien Rabiot is also not yet fully fit and has trained only sparingly, meaning Amorim expects to manage his workload.

Sergio Fofana and Santiago Giménez remain outside the current project, while Mike Maignan continues to be treated as an important part of the squad.

Prediction Analysis

Even without Pulisic and Rafael Leão, Amorim has a good squad with quality attacking strength.

With Venezia losing their opening day fixture, there is little doubt about whether they can stop Amorim's side.

My preferred prediction is Milan to win either half and alternative prediction is over 1.5 goals.

Final Prediction

Main PredictionHome Win Either Half
AlternativeHome Win + Under 4.5 Goals
Confidence80%