AGF Aarhus vs Benfica Prediction
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Home Team
AGF 2–2 OB
Benfica 3–1 AGF
Viborg 2–1 AGF
AGF 2–1 Sabah
Lyngby 2–2 AGF
AGF has conceded in all of their last 5 matches at least once. This inability to keep a clean sheet will mean an opportunity for Benfica to capitalize and score goals.
But we cannot ignore that they have also not failed to score. Even when they lost to Benfica in the first leg of this fixture, they managed to score.
Away Team
Benfica 3–1 AGF
Casa Pia 0–7 Benfica
Hearts 1–1 Benfica
Benfica 2–2 Académico de Viseu
Benfica 6–1 Hearts
Benfica's form is pretty lethal even when on the road.
Head-to-Head
Benfica 3–1 AGF
AGF 0–0 Benfica
Benfica 3–1 AGF
Benfica 1–0 AGF
AGF 1–4 Benfica
In their last 5 h2h, Benfica has won 4 and drew just once. They have not lost a game vs AGF but this 2nd leg may be laidback for them.
Key Statistics
Benfica already lead the tie 3–1 and have scored 21 times in their last five matches. Their attacking form is significantly stronger than AGF's defensive record.
AGF therefore need to attack from the start, while Benfica can play more selectively and exploit spaces. That tactical situation favours the Portuguese side.
Team News
Benfica's squad has been producing consistently despite the demanding qualifying schedule. No major squad issue currently changes the basic prediction.
AGF are also dealing with the physical demands of European qualifying and must overturn a two-goal deficit. Their defensive organisation will be severely tested.
Prediction Analysis
Benfica have the better squad, the better attacking form and a two-goal aggregate advantage.
That two-goal advantage may make them sloppy and concede a goal to AGF who would be looking to overturn the deficit.
Hence, an over 1.5 goals prediction is most likely. But Benfica could look to outscore AGF so I am expecting away win either half.