Serie A · Monday 2 November 2026 · 18:30

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Prediction, Tips and Odds – 2 November 2026

SassuoloHome
18:30Mon 2 Nov
FiorentinaAway
CompetitionSerie AVenueMAPEI Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Our tipOver 1.5
Odds Value1.22
Our chance85%
Why we picked it

Every one of both teams' last five league games had two or more goals, and both defences are missing several players.

Odds of 1.22 give about a 82% chance. We rate it 85%, so the odds look generous.

Match result chances

Sassuolo win 34%Draw 28%Fiorentina win 38%

All markets for this match

Over/Under 1.5 goals Main tipOver 1.585%1.181.22 Value

Fair odds are what our chance is worth: 100 ÷ chance. When the bookmaker pays more, we mark it as value.

Form, last 5 matches

SassuoloLDLLLLost 6-2 at home to Lazio last time out
FiorentinaDLLLDDrew 2-2 with Atalanta last time out

Oldest on the left, most recent on the right.

Head to head

Sassuolo 2 · Draw 1 · Fiorentina 2
Serie A Apr 2026Fiorentina 0–0 Sassuolo
Serie A Dec 2025Sassuolo 3–1 Fiorentina
Serie A Apr 2024Fiorentina 5–1 Sassuolo
Serie A Jan 2024Sassuolo 1–0 Fiorentina
Serie A Jun 2023Sassuolo 1–3 Fiorentina

Team news

Sassuolo

Thorstvedt is suspended, and Pieragnolo, Candé, Paz, Boloca, Koné, Leysen and Idzes are out.

Fiorentina

Sottil, Atta, Pongračić, Parisi, Ranieri and Gosens are out.

Form guide

Sassuolo lost 2-1 at Monza, drew 1-1 with Milan, lost 4-2 at Frosinone and 2-0 at Como, then lost 6-2 at home to Lazio.

Fiorentina drew 1-1 with Napoli, lost 2-1 at Genoa, 3-1 at home to Como and 2-1 at Inter, and drew 2-2 with Atalanta.

Head-to-head

Three of the last five meetings had two or more goals, including 5-1 and 3-1 wins.

Team news

Both defences are hit. Sassuolo are without Pieragnolo, Candé, Leysen and Idzes, and Thorstvedt is suspended. Fiorentina are missing Pongračić, Parisi and Ranieri.

Our prediction and why

We take Over 1.5 goals. Every one of both teams' last five league games had two or more goals, which is what our rule asks for. Both teams conceded in all five.

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: FAQs

When is Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina (Serie A) is on Monday 2 November 2026, kick-off 18:30 (GMT+0100), at MAPEI Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia.

What is the best pick for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?

Our main tip is over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.22, which we rate at a 85% chance. Every one of both teams' last five league games had two or more goals, and both defences are missing several players.

Who will win Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?

We give Sassuolo a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Fiorentina 38%. There is no clear favourite.

How many have Sassuolo conceded lately?

15 in their last five league games.

How is Fiorentina's form?

Winless in five league games, but they scored in all five.

What is your best pick for Monday 2 November?

Our Banker of the Day is Cruz Azul vs León: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.15.

Odds are a guide and may change before kick-off. Predictions are opinions, not guarantees. 18+ only.